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Thursday, May 15, 2025

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WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis & Market Outlook

WTI Crude Oil Overview

WTI crude oil has been in a downward trend, falling below key levels at $75.00, $73.00, and $72.00 before finding support.

On the 4-hour XTI/USD chart, the price has settled below both the 100 simple moving average (SMA) (red) and 200 SMA (green), signaling a bearish outlook. A low was formed at $70.87, and a minor recovery is underway.

Key Levels & Market Movement

  • Resistance Levels:

    • $73.50 – Immediate resistance level
    • $74.00 – Major resistance, aligning with the 100 SMA
    • $75.80 & $78.00 – Potential upside targets if bullish momentum strengthens
  • Support Levels:

    • $72.20 – Key support level; a daily close below may trigger further losses
    • $70.80 – Next major support
    • $68.00 – Critical downside target if bearish pressure increases

Gold Market Update

Gold surged past $2,900 but is now seeing a minor pullback. Investors remain cautious ahead of key economic releases.

Upcoming Economic Events to Watch

  • UK Q4 2024 GDP (Preliminary) (QoQ):
    • Forecast: -0.1% (previous: 0.0%)
  • US Initial Jobless Claims:
    • Forecast: 215K (previous: 219K)

Market Outlook:
WTI crude oil is at a critical juncture. A sustained move above $74.00 could lead to a bullish breakout, while failure to hold $72.20 may accelerate losses toward $70.80 or lower. Traders will be watching economic data and geopolitical developments for further direction.

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